BIG MARLEY’S UFC 236 DRAFTKINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This weekend, we’ve got a PPV card at Atlanta. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to win a great deal of money from this week and I can’t wait to chase those huge prizes. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $30k belongs to 1st place with a total of $150k being paid out. They also have a new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first place price and $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 entries that match. I will try to get my 2nd and 3rd chairs this week if at all possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be actual bankroll suckers so be careful chasing those too hard. I’ll likely stick to the very best GPP this week and then throw 100 or so entries at the $30k decoration, then I will likely take a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs in addition to picking up H2Hs throughout the week to get a fantastic quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let us get into a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of the week:
Money Game play of the week — STACK — Max Holloway $9,100 and Dustin Poirier $7,100
This was the very first thing I did when salaries were published. I put both of these fighters in my cash lineup and I began building from there. I anticipate this to be among the best fights of all time and I think we get ~200 total DK points from this struggle, plus the guaranteed win. I am okay with taking the loss when I can guarantee myself over 100 issues together with the pile, but I think 150 is a safe projection for this fight and if we could lock up 3 other wins we ought to win the majority of our money games. Like I always say, we do not want 6 wins for cash games so there is really no need to chase it. Only lock in a safe lineup which you think will score over 400 total points and you should win more H2Hs than you lose.
GPP play of this week — Nikita Krylov — $8,200
Krylov is my GPP play of the week because he’s the definition of bust or boom. He loses or scores over 100 DK points. That’s what we desire in GPPs. This isn’t a confident choice in him winning it is just a shot at his ceiling which is what we search for in the huge GPPs where we’re attempting to acquire the best $30k prize. Krylov has finished all 24 of his wins and he has only seen the 3rd round once in his profession. This is a great struggle to target on both sides, but I am taking Krylov to get the win and I have a fantastic amount of exposure to him this weekend.
Underdog play of the week — Dustin Poirier — $7,100
I had to put Poirier here. I love his floor and I believe he is a live underdog. But IF he wins, he will 100% end up about the 1st place lineup at his $7.1k price-tag. He’s going to score over 100 DK points when he is able to find a victory here and that’s what we are chasing in GPPs. Even in the event that you believe Max will dominate Poirier I think you should possess 1 hedge lineup utilizing Poirier, which is an all-in fight for me. Every lineup I build will start with Dustin or Max and I’ll go on out there. Load up on this fight and make sure you find some Poirier exposure.
Fade of this week — Boston Salmon ($8,600)
It was hard to pick a fade of the week this week because I believe that you can make an argument for rostering everyone. I wanted to choose a popular though and I think the favored with among those reduced ceilings is Salmon. I’m picking him to win but that he will not be heading for any takedowns and if he doesn’t get a finish that he probably does not pay off his $8.6k price tag. I need at least 10x (86-points) when I’m rostering someone and I don’t see him getting that unless he gets a knockout. Taha is tough so I really don’t observe the knockout occurring. I believe Salmon does get a unanimous decision win here but it likely scores in the 70’s and that will not win us the large $30k. That’s why he is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my own full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle about the card and provide my full DraftKings analysis, in Addition to all of my pick predictions, then you’ll find that for only $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium bets are offered at that link as well. I am 66-41 to get +220.23u (+$22,023) since May 19th on Premium Plays)
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